I am a political economist studying innovation, industry, and international security. Since September 2001, I have been advising industries and ministries on their issues of strategy, planning, and policy. My work aims to inform investors, industrialists, technologists, and policy-makers on how to effect, economically, a secure future.

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25 March 2010

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Jim,

More great work here. With the Navair lifecycle cost brief, the recent GAO report, and the congressional hearings, I'll go out on a limb and assert that it's not just water leaking from the dam, but the water is running brown. With this week's democrat shenanigans and the concomitant, massive outyears' liabilities, looming if not present social security and medicare insolvency, US bond rates now outstripping solid corporate paper by 2x-3x and the Greek bailout on the scale of a week or two's worth of US debt interest (stand by Tim Geitner, the bond rating will drop from AAA this year), the pricey mediocrity of the JSF program will likely come under fire from most political angles in the FY11 defense authorization wrangling. The Navy will break from the program first, with the Superhornet an easy answer as a plausible replacement for the legacy fleet. The USAF will sit back and let the Navy take the early political heat for its intrasigency, but will bail once it senses the argument sticking. Allies will quickly bail thereafter, relieved of the profligate arrangement made during the now hazy yesteryear of an apparent rise of NATO brotherhood in the world order during the end of history era. Which will leave the Corps the last man standing, out of airspeed, ideas, and having leveraged its tacair future amid the last decades' cascade of bogus cost estimates. But, once the program falls apart, the Marines will quickly remember history's lesson that it's always been the Marine that's the most important ingredient in the fight, not the toolset. Go ahead, put a Marine in a Gripen or Superhornet or a next generation A-10. It'll work.

Keep up the great analysis.

About your "Consider Austria".
That is a long story but in short it is just the wrong example.
We Austria have 15 planes because people in our country think we need none at all.
Why Eurofighter? Cause back in 2002 the price differents between them and Gripen was around 7%.

About 2,000-lb bombs. We dont had them, we dont have them. We dont have any air to ground systems. talking about it would be political suicide and you would get into an investigation of parlament and the left as well as the biggest newspaper in Austria(50% of all people read it daily) would scream for your head.

But wait, there's more: call within the next 15 minutes we'll throw in a factory-refurbished Reaper with 1 Hellfire, a 1 HIMARS (non-ATACMS) pod and an HK-416 with a Ginsu knife bayonet!


Jim your true call is marketing!

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